By Jim Buhs
It seems that most forex traders now are looking for the short cut, instead of using the oldest form of technical analysis: trading just using price action. Most traders though don't seem to be interested.
You can tell this is true by looking at any forex forum on the internet. What is it that you normally see on these sites? Usually it's people that are talking about some system that has 40 moving averages or some forex expert advisor that's supposed to be the new holy grail.
Do you see what's wrong with this picture?
For one thing, traders must understand that all these kinds of indicators, like RSI or stochastics, are only good for letting you know what has already occured. If you want the ability forecast future movements in prices, then i strongly recommend nor using these indicators.
The other thing that these traders need to understand is that 95% of all forex traders lose money. If that's the case why would you want to be doing the same exact thing that every other struggling trader is doing?
Think about this from a logical perspective. Chances are traders that are on a forum are struggling with their trading. If that wasn't the case why would they even be there? Most truly successful forex traders don't have the time nor the inclination to hang out in a forex forum.
The real popular discussion on these forums are about the Forex Expert Advisors. For anybody that doesn't know what these are, they are basically trading robots. Developers use trading systems with lagging indicators so that this robot trades for you, while you're away.
You can see why this would be right up the alley of a new trader. After all who wouldn't want the ability to come and go as you please. You can go anywhere you want and in the meantime this robot is going to make you rich, right? Actually that's not the way it works.
Remember with expert advisors, you're asking something from a computer that 95% of all the traders in the world can't accomplish. Being that the forex markets are so new driven, do you really think that a computer is going to be able to quantify any kind of breaking economic news that comes out?
If you want to take the time to really understand the market I suggest that you clean out all your charts of indicators and just watch the price action for a day. Pull up a 30 minute chart and just focus on market movement. One thing will start to become real evident: There are patterns in the market that happen every single day. These are the patterns that can be used to predict future price.
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